Efter stängning av 2019 och därmed ett helt decennium har jag läst många sammanfattningar av vad som hänt de senaste 10 åren. Bästa aktie, bästa låtar mm.
Detta gjorde mig lite sugen på att summera ihop mina senaste 10 år inom spelvärlden. Det senaste decenniet ligger ungefär rätt i tiden för att sammanfatta hela min spelkarriär. Från att jag blev 18 år 2009 till idag.
Mycket har hänt under denna tiden och jag har tagit med mig en hel del lärdomar. I en serie av artiklar kommer jag att sammanfatta hur mitt spelande såg ut, hur det gick och vilka lärdomar jag tagit med mig.
Här kommer Part IV
2014 – 2015 Växla upp
Efter att ha sprungit väldigt dåligt i Asien och förlorat en hel del av det jag byggt upp på kort tid gick jag åter till ritbordet. Jag analyserade mitt spelande. La timmar på att hitta bra tipsters att följa. Räknade på om avgifterna och potentiella avkastningar.
Min analys visade att jag la spel med bra värde men att jag höjt insatserna för snabbt och att jag inte hade kassa för att klara av swings.
Stora och lilla portföljen
När säsongen drog igång 2014 hade jag delat upp min portfölj i två.
Ena delen skulle spelas med 100 euro flatbet på Sportmarket. Detta var min huvudportfölj med de tjänsten som jag trodde mest på. Huvudsakliga tjänster i denna portföljen var Gowi, Football Investor, Football Elite, 1komma7 och George Dempsey.
I den andra delen använde jag mig utav i huvudsak Pinnacle och Bet365 och insatserna sattes beroende på vilken tilltro jag hade på tjänsten. Medelinsats 200-300 kronor.
Tanken var att den stora portföljen skulle ha en högre ROI medan den lilla portföljen skulle vara volymbaserad med mycket spel. Min målsättning vara ungefär 104 % ROI i stora portföljen och 101-102 % i den lilla.
Upp som en sol…
Säsongen började oerhört bra och jag levererade precis som jag skulle. När jag kommit en bit in i Januari hade jag precis det resultatet som jag förväntade mig att ha.
Över 1200 spel placerade vilket med min insats på 100 euro per spel gav en omsättning på 1 200 000 kronor. Vinsten var på närmare mitt mål på 104 % och nästan 50 000 kronor. Jag var tillbaka på det vinnande spåret och hade en bra strategi för att även vinna i Asien. Samtidigt gick min volym portfölj helt okej även den och bidrog med några 1000-lappar.
Jag hade alltså på dessa 6 månader spelat 4000 spel och visade gröna siffror rakt igenom. Men vintern skulle slå mig hårt.
…och ner som en pannkaka
Vad som hände härefter är svårt att beskriva och att ta in även i efterhand. Jag ändrade ingenting i mitt spelande utan fortsatta på den inslagna vägen. Jag började planera inför nästa säsong och att jag då skulle höja mina insatser för att kunna bli bettare på åtminstone deltid.
Men från vecka 3 2015 gick det bara utför. Ingenting jag spelade på vann längre. Jag gick in i en riktig svacka som jag aldrig upplevt tidigare.
På så kort tid som 9 veckor raserades hela min vinst ut som jag byggt upp under 6 månaders spel och 4000 matcher. Jag var knäckt och drog i handbromsen. Man ska inte underskatta effekten som en sådan här svacka har på psyket. Jag vet att jag egentligen borde fortsatt som om ingenting hade hänt. Rent pengamässigt hade inget hänt heller om man zoomar ut perspektivet. Men där och då kändes det inte bra alls. Jag hade stora drömmar om att avancera spelandet och blev tagen på sängen av denna brutala nedgång.
Samma sak hände med min lilla portfölj, dock inte lika kraftfullt som i den stora
Efter denna nedgången valde jag att avbryta säsongen.
Jag var ganska knäckt av resultatet och tyckte inte betting var roligt för stunden. Jag tog en paus för att se om jag skulle tycka det skulle bli roligt igen. När man inte tycker betting är roligt längre bör man alltid ta en paus. Jag gör inte detta för att tjäna pengar egentligen utan för att jag tycker det är förbaskat roligt.
Trots denna nedgång och att jag var nedbruten mentalt så slutade inte säsongen så dåligt trots allt. Lägger man ihop portföljerna gick jag faktiskt plus denna säsong, om än med små marginaler
Under dessa 9 månader placerade jag 5000 spel, omsatte över 2 500 000 kronor och gjorde en vinst på knappt 1 500 kronor. Ganska galna siffror när man tänker tillbaka. Jag drev mitt spelande som ett litet företag och la flera timmar varje dag på det. Ganska mycket tid på att bokföra spel också med tanke på att jag placerade närmare 20 spel per dag i genomsnitt.
När jag ser tillbaka i backspegeln så blir jag fortfarande lite besviken över att jag inte mentalt klarade av att fortsätta. Min nedgång var brutal, javisst. Men all teori om betting säger att det är en Grind och att dessa nedgångar kommer. Det gäller bara att fortsätta att spela på odds med värde och parera tillfälliga nedgångar.
- Ska man spela på detta sättet behöver man vara beredd på att lägga ner tid. Jag inte bara spelade i genomsnitt 20 spel dag, jag bokförde dem även och följde dem. Jag analyserade dessutom alla tjänster löpande och letade efter nya.
- Tycker man inte betting är roligt för tillfället bör man ta en paus. Det ska vara roligt att spela annars har man problem. Kan man inte sluta ändå bör man söka hjälp.
- Man bör inte sluta spela bara för att det går dåligt en period. Betting handlar om sannolikheter och så länge du har oddsen med dig bör du fortsätta grinda.
65 tankar om “Lärdomar från 10 år av betting Part IV”
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