Förra veckans kupong
Äntligen en vecka med lite lägre utdelning. Året började nästan för starkt med höga utdelningar vecka efter vecka. Kupongen denna vecka var helt utan stora skrällar. Dragen var Derby 22 % och Nottingham 28 %.
Utdelningen landade till slut på 6 486 kronor till 1052 lyckliga (?) vinnare.
Även denna vecka ser vi en kupong med enbart en Premier League-match vilket gör att det blir extra svårt att få fram bra singlar. Förhoppningsvis kan det blir lite färre stora favoriter som vinner så att utdelningen kan bli högre än förra veckan.
Även jackpot denna vecka när det ligger 14 miljoner i potten. Kommer bli riktigt intressant hur dessa kommer fördelas!
Match 2 Leeds – Bristol City
Leeds form ser inte bra ut om ser till resultaten. Samtidigt visar underliggande statistik fortsatt på att de skapar mycket chanser och släpper till få. Vi bör alltså snart se att de får utdelning!
Bristol C är det precis tvärtom med. De fortsätter att överprestera jämfört med underliggande statistik och ligger nu precis under kvalstrecket för att ta sig upp till Premier League.
Det ska vara klasskillnad i denna matchen och Leeds bör ta 3 poäng. Streckade just nu till 60 %, men det kommer att förändras till matchstart. Jag kör singel utan tvekan i denna match även om strecken till slut bör landa på över 70 % på hemmalaget.
Match 11 Middlesbrough – Luton
Jag har varit emot Luton hela säsongen, även när de började bra. Och varför sluta nu? Luton är det laget som spelar sämst i serien och även ligger sist.
Middlesbrough är inte ett strålande lag och har inte vunnit på länge. Men det har inte sett helt värdelöst ut enligt statistiken och att möta jumbon på hemmaplan känns som en bra match att vända detta på.
Det är inte den mest självklara spiken jag har rekommenderat och den är smått överstreckad just nu. Men jag för att göra plats åt andra garderingar känns det som en sund etta att spika! Jag har svårt att se Luton komma i från denna matchen med poäng!
Match 1 Norwich – Liverpool
Jag vet inte om jag behöver motivera denna egentligen. Liverpool är tillsammans med Man City seriens bästa lag. 24 vinster på 25 matcher och obesegrade än så länge. Men någon gång måste det bli en plump (eller?) och då vill jag vara med!
Åker Liverpool på kupongen försvinner alla Svensson-kuponger och man fightas endast med stående rader och smart money. Jag garderar upp denna helt och sätter utgång på krysset.
Match 9 Fulham – Barnsley
Kupongens för närvarande klarast överstreckade favorit Fulham är ett måste att försöka fälla på kupongen. Visst är Fulham favoriter i matchen men att streckas till 80 %. Nej tack!
Både krysset till 11 % och Barnsley till 9 % är mumma att ha med på lördag.
Jag förstår att detta kommer jämnas ut till matchstart, men inte tillräckligt och jag tror många smarta kuponger kommer att ta bort Fulham helt. Jag tror därför att det kan vara en bra väg att strecka med även dem för att fälla dessa också.
Tänk en lördag med förlust Liverpool och vinst Fulham, då bör det inte vara många kuponger kvar!
Jackpot och bara en Premier League match bådar för en spännande lördag. Förhoppningsvis drar utdelningen iväg och man sitter ensam med miljonerna.
Min rad är baserad på U 7-3-100 vilket betyder 7 helgarderingar, 3 halvgarderingar, 3 singlar och 10 utgångsstreck.
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